Judging from the current situation, the Japanese fleet is the least afraid of a decisive battle at sea! The four last-generation quasi-fair firepower are already footnotes for the decisive battle. 13 or 14 main battleships fought 8 main battleships from afar. As long as they can be caught, it is almost impossible to lose! Such a small risk and easy-to-operate battle, the Japanese cannot ignore it!

Therefore, Ruprecht judged that if the Japanese wanted to launch a raid on the Russian fleet, they would choose to launch an attack during the Russian fleet's journey to the Far East. As for the specific situation in the South China Sea, the East China Sea or other places, it is hard to say. As long as Japan can severely damage the Baltic fleet from Russia, the overall situation at sea will be almost decided, as long as you can be optimistic about Vladivostok.

Then the way to start the war has been determined, and what needs to be determined is the time issue. When will Japan choose to start the war? Judging from the current situation, the last two battleships ordered by the Japanese Navy will return to Japan in March next year. After a period of rest and adaptation, they will develop combat effectiveness in June. In other words, if we look at it from the perspective of Japan alone, they can launch an attack in June.

The prince then considered another situation. If the Japanese army first landed on the Liaodong Peninsula under the cover of the navy, and then took the Port of Lushun in a short time, even if the Baltic fleet came, they could only go to Vladivostok. Vladivostok had a freezing period, and the Russian fleet could not leave the port in winter. The advantage of doing this is that even if the Japanese Navy did not intercept the opponent, Japanese maritime transportation would be safe before the end of the Vladivostok freezing period in 1904. But the problem is that doing this is also equivalent to leaving the Russians with a chance to breathe.

The 8 warships of the Baltic Fleet and the 4 warships of Vladivostok in Shanghai are 12. If they dragged for a long time, what should the Americans provide Russia with a few more warships in 1904? Under the same strength, the chances of winning between the Japanese fleet and the Russian fleet are half to half, and Russia can withstand the result of the fleet's defeat. But Japan is absolutely unbearable.

From a strategic perspective, at the beginning, the Russian fleet was divided into three parts. The Japanese fleet was concentrated together and had strategic initiative. If the second style of play was chosen, the Russian fleet would be strengthened to the same level as the Japanese fleet, and then the two sides would be tied. Japan would lose its strategic advantage invisibly. The record of Lushun could not smooth out the losses of the failure of initiative, because the key to the navy lies in the fleet's actions at sea. The losses of a base were not too fatal.

If the army is considered again, the cost of doing so will be greater. Although Russia is fighting thousands of miles away, in terms of resilience, Japan is obviously not as good as Russia. They do not want to delay the war too long. If the Russian fleet exists all the time, then Russia will have a chance to win and Nicholas II will continue to fight firmly.

In fact, on another plane, even if Russia failed in the Battle of Fengtian, after being pushed to the front line of Tieling, the main force of the Russian troops was still there, and there was a steady stream of troops transferred from Europe. Although Russia was caught in the political crisis and national conflicts after the defeat, it still had the foundation. This is also the reason why Earl Witt was tough enough when facing the Japanese! No penny will be paid, if you don’t agree, then continue to fight!

If the war drags on longer, Japan, which has weak qi and blood, may have to switch from offensive to defense, and then consume a lot of money and manpower in the trench confrontation. This is definitely not the result that Japan is willing to see, so it must eliminate all the hopes of Russia's turnaround in the shortest possible time!

After some consideration, Ruprecht**** began to write a reply to the German Emperor: "After next June, Japan will complete the final war preparations. They may start a war at any time. The army will enter North Korea in large quantities and stockpile a large amount of ammunition and supplies. In this case, the Russians will soon smell the coming of war. Therefore, the Baltic fleet led by Lieutenant General Makanov will immediately go to the Far East."

"And this long voyage is destined to be some warships unable to reach their destination. What they welcome is not the welcome of friendly forces, but the ruthless artillery of the Japanese fleet! When will Japan launch a war against Russia, it depends entirely on when the Russian fleet will come to the Far East. The first artillery of the Russo-Japanese War will be launched at sea, maybe in the South China Sea, maybe in the Taiwan Strait, or in the East China Sea!"

"Does the Russian fleet have a chance to avoid this disaster?" The German emperor's reply to the prince was very simple.

"It's very difficult, unless the Russians choose to go to the Atlantic Ocean, then bypass South America and enter the Pacific Ocean, and then follow the Pacific Ocean to enter Vladivostok. And this is just a possibility. Even if the Japanese cannot find the traces of the Russian fleet through reconnaissance in the Pacific Ocean, they can still wait for the arrival of the Russian fleet outside the port of Vladivostok. The final result is nothing more than making the whole process more troublesome. The Japanese fleet may face a sluggish attack, but the Russians still have little chance of winning." The prince's reply was also very simple.

"Let's pray to Nicky (what William II calls Nicholas II.) and wish his poor fleet could escape the fate of defeat under the guidance of God's glory." Looking at William II's reply, the prince really couldn't imagine what William II felt when he said this. Was he gloating or really hoped that the Russian fleet would successfully converge? Maybe both are there? Anyway, there is no conflict. William II hopes that the longer the war, the better!

"May God bless General Makanov." His Highness **** also said to William II with a funny spirit. "If possible, we can actually remind the Russians and Americans. Do you think it is necessary?"

"Do what you think is right, don't worry about other consequences or other people's interference." William II's reply was very simple.

"Let Earl Schelling arrange it and let him tell Lieutenant General Essen that I can meet him at any time." The prince closed the documents in his hand and said. "Makanov, I will help you as much as possible and find a glimmer of life for you. Although your fleet may still suffer heavy losses, at least you can run away and don't let my expectations down and efforts." His Highness **** was moved by his spirit of internationalism...
Chapter completed!