Chapter 540 Guessing and Inference 1
However, huge risks also indicate huge benefits. The German Emperor promised Bavaria to expand another army, which was relatively stable. First of all, this was the meaning of the German emperor. He could not not lie to a country. Secondly, the rise of Moltke's position has been a foregone conclusion. Moltke must hope that Bavaria can play a greater role in future wars. Neither the top leaders of the German government nor the top leaders of the German military have hindered their forces, so this matter is still very stable!
One army at a time, directly expanding the scale of more than 40,000 people! And without saying what kind of army is built, the Prussian government is willing to bear half of the military expenditure, which is a good thing that is hard to find with a lantern! In fact, Prussia is not a loss, because it is impossible to only allow Bavaria to send troops on the Eastern Front to fight against Russia. Prussia must also invest a considerable amount of distance. With more Bavarians, Prussia will invest less. As for submarines? The prince really wants the British to better feel the power of this epoch-making weapon!
The prince means that before the war begins, Germany must have at least 100 submarines, including more than 60 submarines suitable for sports in the Atlantic Ocean, with a displacement of about 700 tons. It should have more than 60 submarines! It puts huge pressure on the British maritime transportation line from the beginning! For himself and for Germany, the prince must carefully consider how the Japanese would start this war!
Needless to say, the Japanese will definitely start with sneak attacks, and look at the history of Japanese foreign wars in history. Which time did Japan declare war first and then take action? How could Japan, who tasted the sweetness of sneak attacks and had no morality at all? But the only problem now is that Japan cannot contain Russia by blocking Lushun in the historical way. The reason is very simple. The situation has changed. The attack on Lushun cannot block most of the Russian fleets.
But one thing that is certain is that the Japanese will still be at sea first! Because Japan is an island country, if they cannot control or severely damage the other side's navy at the first time, then let alone transporting troops to the mainland, they will not even be able to solve their own security problems! Therefore, the Japanese will definitely take action at sea.
Why did the Japanese sneak attack Lushun in history? The fundamental reason is that there are 7 Russian battleships in Lushun Port, which is the essence of Russia's First Pacific Fleet! Locking them in the port is equivalent to controlling more than 70% of the Russian Navy's combat power. The three armored cruisers in Vladivostok did cause some trouble to the Japanese, but they were just trouble. Although the Japanese suffered heavy losses, they lost more than ten transport ships, killed more than 3,000 troops and lost several 280mm heavy artillery. However, the impact on the overall situation was limited, Hikaru Uemura still caught the opportunity and directly damaged Essen's cruiser fleet, thus solving the security problem of Japan's maritime traffic line. Then the Japanese Navy could continue to block the main force of the Russian fleet in Lushun.
But the situation is different now. The four most elite Russians Liurik 2 battleships were deployed in Vladivostok. This is a powerful mobile force. If the two sides meet, it is a question whether all Japanese armored cruisers can beat the four Liurik 2s. What's more fatal is that the Baltic fleet advanced eastward, and they will enter the Far East before the war began in history. This shows that the Russians' war preparations are much faster than those in history. In this regard, American funds and industrial support are indelible...
If the Japanese Navy starts war again after the 6 battleships and 2 armored cruisers led by Makanov arrive, the situation will be bad! The 8 main battleships plus 4 in Lushun Port will be 12, and the Japanese combined fleet will have 14, and there are 4 powerful Liurik level 2 battleships outside waiting for an opportunity to stab the sword in the back. The Americans may have to temporarily strengthen the Russians' performance before the war begins. If all the war develops in the direction planned by the United States and Russia, then the Japanese have no chance of winning at sea! If the naval battle is lost, there is no need to fight the Russo-Japanese War...
Even if the Americans did not give the Russian Navy an additional "extra meal" if the Japanese main fleet was attracted in Lushun and Vladivostok, then the attack ships that were cruising on the sea in advance would still cause considerable trouble for Japan's maritime transportation. Don't forget that in this plane, the Philippines is a Japanese colony, and the range of sea transportation has been expanded several times! Therefore, the prince concluded that Japan would never give the Russian fleet time to concentrate!
If you want to stop this from happening, the Japanese must eat some of them at the beginning of the war. So, what part should they eat? Are they the four battleships from Lushun Port, or the four Liurik-level 2 battleships from Vladivostok? Or the support fleet from Europe to the Far East? First of all, the four old battleships from Lushun Port were eliminated first, because half of these four battleships were moving in the Yellow Sea and the northern part of the East China Sea, very close to Lushun Port. If the situation is not good, they can quickly retract back to the port. Moreover, these four battleships are relatively old and have limited significance for annihilation. The Japanese are not likely to touch them!
Then there are four Liurik-2 battleships in Vladivostok. These battleships are usually very active and often team up to go to the Sea of Japan and the eastern coast of Japan. In the first half of this year, I visited North Korea and occasionally met with their senior ships, the Asama-class armored cruiser, and chatted about it. It can be said that before the Makanov fleet advanced eastward, these four Liurik-class battleships were definitely the warships that the Japanese wanted to eliminate the most! But the prince concluded that if the Japanese wanted to deal with this fleet, they would probably put it in the last place!
The reason is very simple. These four warships are too difficult to deal with! Speed of the ships, these new warships that have not been launched for a short time, can run to a maximum speed of 22 knots, and can completely shake off all the Japanese main ships, including the Asama-class armored cruiser (the Asama-class cruiser has been in service for many years after all). In addition, the large endurance is fully upholding that I can't beat you, but you will definitely not be able to grasp my design concept. There is no absolute advantage in surrounding and blocking the enemy, so that's not even thinking about it. If you just use the cruiser formation, you don't know who will fight who...
Then the only possibility is the Russian Baltic Fleet led by Makanov! First of all, this fleet is powerful enough. Once it is eliminated, it is equivalent to killing half of Russia's participating forces! Secondly, the speed of this fleet is not high, and after a long voyage, their speed will be even lower! The Japanese can choose any point on the long route from the South China Sea to Lushun for interception. If the Japanese want to intercept the attack, then the Makanov fleet will not be able to avoid it! The British and Japanese camouflaged reconnaissance ships are enough to keep this fleet dead!
Chapter completed!