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Chapter 675 The Great Hanshin Earthquake

These days, He Baoguo and Chen Qigang are the busiest people. They are so busy that they don’t have the time to get free. They are not as idle as Chen Kangjie and others. They just make their own decisions and leave everything to their subordinates, but they can’t.

So many colleagues from prefectures and cities, so many provincial leaders, so many central officials, and officials from surrounding provinces and regions all want them to receive them. Even if some receptions do not require them to take charge, they still have to accompany them. This is the cumbersome rules of the officialdom and cannot be changed.

These days, this place is like a diplomatic occasion. There are many unilateral or changing diplomacy every day, with different meetings and negotiations between each other. Everyone is trying their best to get the greatest benefit for themselves and their departments or units, and they all want to get a share of this big cake.

The whole process lasted until January 6th. Those who should return to Beijing and those who should return to the province will return to the province. However, the song of people has not ended, and the next thing is to implement it in a real way.

Starting from New Year's Day, all the news media in the province have focused on this conference. Through continuous bombings, from top to bottom, they are talking about this topic, and both cadres and the masses are greatly encouraged.

When you go out and take a bus, you will definitely hear someone talking in the bus. When you walk in the park, you will definitely be talking in the community. When you walk in the remote villages, you will also find someone talking in the mood to discuss. Even in the university, many departments have organized discussions before the winter vacation.

In short, everyone is thanking the Party, the government, and the leaders. No one mentioned Chen Kangjie. It would have nothing to do with him if he lets go.

"You will be more worried about this matter in the future. The main thing is that the summer vacation will be on the early stage. Then I will be closed-ended training. I will not ask about these matters anymore." Before Ouyang Zhenhua returned to the provincial capital and Hong Kong, Chen Kangjie explained in his hotel room.

"I know that our funds should not be a problem. The yen appreciates faster than expected. It has reached 80 yen at present. Should we withdraw?" Ouyang Zhenhua asked for instructions.

"So quickly,,,, it seems that some things have been blown by the butterfly's wings." Chen Kangjie was a little surprised at first, and then he talked to himself.

"Mr. Jie, haha, even so, it's roughly the same as what you predicted. This is already a very magical thing. Besides, the result is better, and you are not satisfied." Ouyang Zhenhua thought Chen Kangjie was upset about his prediction.

"Haha, yes, it's really a good thing,,, I think about it," Chen Kangjie said, then stood up with his hands in his arms and walked to the window.

When thinking about problems, Chen Kangjie always likes to look into the distance. The broad vision of the Buddha can release his infinite thoughts and stimulate his potential, especially his passion.

As the saying goes, stand high and see far, and have a broad vision, you can have a broad mind.

When Chen Kangjie was thinking, Ouyang Zhenhua, who had a tacit understanding, would not disturb him. He either drank tea himself or smoked. Now Ouyang Zhenhua picked up a cup of Cuiya tea and savored it carefully.

"The plan remains unchanged, and I will start to withdraw in April." Chen Kangjie determined what he thought and turned around.

"Okay, but,,,, Mr. Jie, do you think the price will continue to rise?" Ouyang Zhenhua was not sure, so he tried Chen Kangjie.

"It should be a few more months, oh, by the way, in January, don't go to Kansai area, and tell the people below not to go to cities like Kobe," Chen Kangjie suggested after affirming.

"Why." Ouyang Zhenhua's question was a pun. One was asking why it would rise for a few months, and the other was asking why we couldn't go to those places. Kobe is a big city in Japan, and they have business there.

"Don't ask too much about this, I don't know how to explain it, I feel it." Of course, Chen Kangjie couldn't explain it.

The reason why Chen Kangjie said this is because he knew something would happen in Japan at the beginning of 1995.

Chen Kangjie refers to the Hanshin-Awaji-daishinsai earthquake. At 5:45 am on January 17, 1995, a disaster occurred in Kobe, Japan. The scale of the earthquake was 7.3 magnitude. The earthquake was located in Awaji Island, 23 kilometers southwest of Kobe City, and belonged to Hyogo Prefecture in Kansai Region, Japan. The earthquake was caused by the activities of Kobe to the Rokka fault area from Awaji Island. It is a strong earthquake with up and down vibration. Since Kobe is a large city in Japan with a dense population (1.05 million people), the earthquake time is in the early morning, it caused quite a lot of casualties (official statistics were about 6,500 people, and 320,000 people were killed and houses were damaged and they had to live in a combined house).

"The Japanese are the most difficult to understand. The accepted practices in the West have no meaning to the Japanese." American female anthropologist Ruth Benedict described Japan in his famous book "Chrysanthemum and the Sword".

This sentence also applies to the "unconventional" performance of the yen after the Japanese earthquake. According to general rules, if a country experiences such a natural disaster, its currency exchange rate will usually fall in response. Chen Kangjie does not remember the detailed performance of Japan's currency after the Hanshin earthquake. However, after the Japanese earthquake on March 11, sixteen years later, the exchange rate of the yen against the US dollar was exactly the opposite. Not only did it not decline, it showed a trend of significant appreciation.

Whether it is abnormal or normal, Chen Kangjie feels that there must be some internal logic. Since the yen will appreciate significantly after the 2011 earthquake, it will definitely happen this time.

A few months later, Chen Kangjie's judgment was indeed confirmed. The yen not only did not decline after the Hanshin earthquake, but also rose greatly.

In fact, this is a reasonable explanation with economic principles. Both major earthquakes were at the most difficult time in Japan's economy, and there were financial crises. Japan had capital investments abroad and around the world. In this case, the first thing Japan had to do was to withdraw overseas funds back to China, support domestic construction and development, and have a large amount of funds entering, which would naturally push up the price of the yen and form an objective appreciation trend.

This Hanshin earthquake caused a direct loss of 2% of Japan's GDP. It is so destructive that Japan cannot withdraw funds from the government to the enterprise, which will bring a rare opportunity to Chen Kangjie and the others, and can slaughter another piece of meat.

There will be gains in money, but Chen Kangjie does not want any losses from personnel, so he advises Ouyang Zhenhua and the others not to go to the Kansai area during this period. He remembers that the earthquake occurred on January 17, but the current history has made him unable to determine whether the time will be so accurate, so he can only expand the time range to the entire January.

"It feels like you make decisions based on your feelings." Ouyang Zhenhua felt a little incredible.

"Yes, it has always been a feeling. Feeling first, knowledge assists. Everything in the world is very wonderful. Not everything can be explained scientifically and reasonably. Nature is just too magical." Chen Kangjie not only admitted it arrogantly, but also found some high-sounding reasons.

"Okay, if we don't go, do we don't have to go the earthquake research team we sponsored?" Ouyang Zhenhua asked.

"That won't work. If you don't go, they have to go. If they don't go, then they'll study it." Chen Kangjie immediately opposed it and rejected it.

In order to deal with the earthquake that caused more than 80,000 deaths in the country thirteen years later, the Huatang Foundation has sponsored a national earthquake research team and provided them with 200 million yuan in research funds every year for basic and equipment research monitoring.

The Earthquake Bureau is a clean yamen. This discipline is also a relatively biased discipline. There are few researchers and even less research funds. Because it is not effective and is mainly funded by the government, the government will invest a lot of funds in research fields with obvious economic benefits and faster results, which makes the country's earthquake systems short of funds in research and detection.

Under such circumstances, the 200 million yuan of scientific research funds provided by the Huatang Foundation each year are very critical and important. According to Chen Kangjie's requirements, the researchers of this research group are composed of the top 17 scientific research experts selected by the State Earthquake Administration, the China University of Geosciences, the Xichuan Provincial Earthquake Bureau, and the Chinese Academy of Engineering. The team leader is an academician of the Academy of Engineering. In addition to daily funds, each person can currently have 10 million research funds per year in project research. Such sufficient funding will support the necessary research they need.

According to the prior itinerary, all members of the group will go to Japan for earthquake seminars and academic exchanges at the beginning of this year, and will also conduct field visits to this area of ​​the Pacific plate.

But the place they arranged in advance was not what Chen Kangjie wanted.

"Mr. Jie, you don't feel that there will be an earthquake in Japan, right?" Ouyang Zhenhua joked.

Chen Kangjie's request was too abnormal. They could not go there. Those who studied the earthquake could go there. This is not obvious. Chen Kangjie's premonition was that an earthquake would occur there. After knowing Chen Kangjie for so long, Ouyang Zhenhua is very familiar with Chen Kangjie's logic.

"You've guessed it right. It's this feeling. You can arrange it and let them go to Kansai area and not to go to Kanto. Then you can live outdoors and not live in a room, study earthquakes, and not observe the signs of natural creatures outdoors and lie in a comfortable room. What's the use of lying in a comfortable room?" Chen Kangjie mainly didn't want these experts to lose money there.

"Young Master Jie, you may not know very well. The seismic community believes that there will be no major earthquakes in Kansai, Japan. The earthquake will also occur in Kanto. The Kanto earthquake in that year is a clear proof." Ouyang Zhenhua has seen that group of research experts, so he has also gained some knowledge.
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