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Chapter 2887 Multi-party calculation 3

Perhaps Germany and Austria's attitude towards Turkey now is to be an insignificant ally, and at worst it is also a neutral country without threats? To some extent, Germany and the United States are consistent on weakening Turkey. Reza Khan said to himself while turning the cup in his hand.

However, the Germans and Americans have different attitudes towards Persia. In the eyes of the Germans, we are the barrier to block Russia's southward movement, and it is also the cornerstone of balancing the future new Turkey. We will not challenge the hegemony of the Germans because we are too weak. The Turks have the entire Asia Minor, half the Balkan Peninsula and the entire Fertile Land of the Crescent. (It is the arc-shaped area from later Jordan, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.) And our territory is limited and the population is limited. The military power is even weaker than even the two German armies!

Before doing big things, you must understand your own strength and your positioning. This is what is called self-knowledge. If you want to punch a strong country when you are hot, you won’t have any good results when you kick the master of the great powers. Therefore, Reza Khan must know what Persia is, what the great powers’ attitude towards Persia, what their expectations are, and which great power can seek common ground while reserving differences with you, and finally get a compromise that everyone feels acceptable.

In Reza Khan's view, Germany's requirements for Persia are actually very low. It's nothing more than standing on its own side. The two sides carry out some economic cooperation to completely eliminate the United States and Russia from the Middle East, blocking Russia's road to the south, and may rent some ports or military bases when necessary. Of course, the scale will not be large, because if it is dealt with Russia, the Germans have a better starting position, and Central Asia is north of Persia, which is not the core ruling area of ​​Russia. Isn't it a step away from the attack from here?

As for dealing with India, Reza Khan believes that it is unlikely from a military perspective. After all, the so-called "snakes and hits seven inches" is the homeland of the British Empire at the gate of Germany. When the Germans solved the British mainland, India itself was in chaos. Why did they use special deployment of a large number of troops to attack India?

Therefore, Reza Khan felt that Germany did not have much demands on Persia. However, the United States and Russia had too many demands on Persia. Russia lost the Transcaucasus oil field, so Russia became an importer from the world's second largest oil exporter. (Russia has not discovered other large oil fields during this period.) So, Russia needs Persian oil. Of course, this need is not an equal transaction, because Russia has no money to trade fairly. Although Americans have money, can they not spend money. Isn't it better?

Russia needs Persian food, but the reason is also very simple. Russia has lost its most important production area. It is called the bread basket of Europe. Russia still has vast land, but it lacks enough manpower and time to cultivate. If possible, the Russians are naturally willing to turn Iran into their own bread basket. What would the Americans have? They will naturally tend toward a stronger and more useful Russia!

Also from a military perspective, what would happen if Persia stood on the side of the United States and Russia? In Reza Khan's view, if he followed Germany, Persia was just a chess piece, and it would be fine as long as he maintained the status quo. But if he stood on the side of the United States and Russia, it would be different, because the United States needed a pedal that could directly attack the key points of the Allies. At present, Persia was just close to this key point, and the name of this key point was the Transcaucasus Oilfield! Persia was not just a channel in the United States' plan, but also the frontier of attack! Large-scale strategic bombing had already shown terrifying power at the end of the war, and the encounter of London could tell everything. Even though the Americans could not have occupied the Baku oilfield through the complex terrain of the Transcaucasus region, the bomber group they deployed in Persia could threaten this place!

Moreover, if Persia occupied the Mesopotamian Basin, it would not be a good thing for Persia, but rather a disaster! The reason is very simple! The Persian border line moved directly to the west by hundreds of kilometers! The powerful German army could come to the new Persian border line as long as it crossed Asia Minor. Therefore, everything else was clear, and Germany had no reason not to attack Persia!

The United States and Russia may have Britain in the future. Can these three countries fight against allies? Reza Khan is not clear, but he knows that once both sides attack in the Mesopotamian Basin, the most unlucky one may be Persia! There is a saying that when two elephants fight, the most unlucky one is the grass at the feet of the elephant! It doesn’t matter which of these two elephants wins in the end! The grass is the most unlucky one! Germany has no reason to let Persia go, whether it is from the perspective of protecting its own oil fields or cutting off Russian foreign aid!

If it really reaches this level, I feel that unless the Germans are completely defeated, they will not stop their offensive against us. No matter what the outcome of the war, our country will become a scorched earth. And I think that in the future war, the Allies will have a greater chance of winning. The United States is too far from the battlefield. The Russians and the British are at the door of the Allies, with a very bad geographical environment. Reza Khan drank all the remaining little coffee. Under the stimulation of caffeine, he was unprecedentedly awake!

Okay, after understanding all the problems, it will be implemented. Judging from the king's performance during the talks today, Shah wanted to keep himself by his side. After all, Reza Khan was promoted by him, and he held the most elite army in the Persian Kingdom. If he couldn't solve the problem, then there would probably be no other military force in the country to rely on. Therefore, Reza Khan stayed in the rear, whether in Tehran or on the northern line. Or it was entirely up to Reza Khan to think about it.

So are I in Munich or on the Northern Line? Reza Khan weighed the pros and cons of the two choices. If he stayed in Munich, he would naturally be the safest and would be the easiest to subvert the Qazar dynasty at the right time. Reza Khan had two goals, one was to kill the US and Russian troops in Persia, and the other was to replace it!

From a purely utilitarian perspective, letting the Germans kill the Russians in the north, then deal with the Shah themselves, and establish a new dynasty is the simplest and safest for Reza Khan. But this disadvantage is also obvious. What would the Germans think of his peach-picking practice? Do you feel that they are lacking sincerity and are just using the power of Germany?
Chapter completed!
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