Chapter 279: A Plan Doomed to Fail
"If you need it, if the German Emperor allows us, we can discuss this plan carefully. Before you understand, denying that this plan is not good." said the count.
"I have read some relevant exercise plans and wargame deduction materials. This plan is indeed a perfect wargame deduction and can be successful in exercises, but the significance is very limited in reality because it is too harsh and too complicated to allow a slight mistake."
"I believe that domestic railways can complete this task, but the question is, how do you ensure that the troops can successfully accept the railway systems of Belgium and the Netherlands? How do you ensure that the railway troops can complete the repair work within the specified time? What are you going to do in the face of landslide tunnels and broken bridges?" Ruprecht asked.
"We have prepared more than 60 companies of railway corps and civilian railway repair personnel, and they will accompany the troops." Schliffen said.
"The destruction speed is much faster than the advancement speed, and the Belgian fortress will also delay our advancement speed. Even if we can barely accept some railways, after we cross Belgium, the exhausted army may face the main force of the French." The prince shook his head and said.
"The French would not know our plan, their main force should be concentrated on the left wing. And we can hold our opponents with only a small amount of troops, and it doesn't matter if we temporarily lose some territory." Schriefen retorted.
"This is just a theoretical calculation. Can you imagine that there is a train that specifically destroys the railway, which can completely destroy the entire section of the roadbed at a speed of more than 25 kilometers per hour? If the war begins, it is estimated that we can successfully accept a 3,000-kilometer railway line in Belgium, which will not exceed 800 kilometers. How can you solve this problem? How long can 60 railway corps repair this railway line?" asked the prince.
"And even if everything goes well, after we successfully passed Belgium, how can we go the last distance from the border between France and Belgium to Paris? This distance is about 80 to 120 kilometers on average! There is no railway, only roads, all troops, supplies and ammunition and weapons need to be transported by road. In the absence of railways, the limit distance for the large corps to advance every day is within 25 kilometers. So tell me, how should this be solved?"
Even if the Germans' strategic intentions were hidden, and even if the French were slow, when the main force of the German army crossed Belgium, the French must have discovered Germany's strategic intentions and then had enough time to use the railway line to complete the troops' mobilization. Historically, the battle between the two sides in the border areas ended with the failure of the French, but the main French army suffered little losses. Even Moltke admitted that the main force of the French army was still there, because if Germany won a decisive victory, a large number of prisoners should be captured, but in fact, very few were.
The French successfully blocked the Germans and consumed the German supplies. Some people said that the subsequent Battle of Marne saved France. In fact, even if the Germans blocked the French counterattack, the exhausted German legion would still choose to retreat and shorten supplies, because their vehicles lost more than half and the available war horses also dropped sharply. At this time, Belgium's 4,000-kilometer railway line was restored to 600 kilometers, and only 3 of the 43 large railway buildings were restored. The German army had to retreat without supplies.
Moreover, the Schlieffen plan in the war in history was modified, and the ratio of troops on the left and right wings changed from the original 15 to 100 to 42 to 100. Some people say that Moltke changed the essence of the Schlieffen plan. In fact, if you carefully study the history and logistics situation, you will find that the failure of the Marne River Battle was not because of insufficient troops, but because of the fatigue of the troops.
So what if there are more troops? There is not enough transportation capacity to transport them to the front line, and there is not enough supply after transportation. Moreover, while modifying Schliffen's plan, Xiao Moltke also narrowed the attack surface and gave up attacking the Netherlands. This means that there is no need to consider dealing with the Netherlands' local troops. At least two troops saved the strength of the troops. After the attack was launched, the coordinated German local transportation line did not delay the transportation force, and the attack surface was too narrow and not enough for the troops to deploy.
Therefore, Moltke's plan is actually more reasonable than Schlieffen's plan. Even if the plan failed, Schlieffen's original plan is even more unlikely to succeed. Compared with Schlieffen who made purely plans, Moltke still realized the restrictions on the army by logistics and tried his best to improve it. Unfortunately, he was fighting against the restrictions of this era, and the final result could only be failure!
Maybe someone is going to ask again why Moltke still insists on this plan even though he knew that the plan might fail? The prince could not answer this question, but from the current point of view, it is very likely that the Germans have a natural fear of the Russian giant. They are not afraid of France, but are afraid of Russia! This vast and populous polar bear gives people a feeling of invincibility. So much so that the Germans never thought of beating down Russia first and then solving France.
At the same time, a quick battle and decisive idea permeated the German senior management. They regarded war as a fight in a short period of time. They did not realize the importance of the overall war. Later, Rudendolf realized that Germany's first battle was over, but it ended up failing. Before the beginning of the first battle, Germany always believed that the war would end within three months, but in fact, it had been fought for 4 years! Of course, this is a later story, so I won't mention it for now.
"This has been verified during the exercise, and the railway troops can complete this task." Schliffen wiped the cold sweat from his head. Needless to ask, the content of today's meeting will definitely appear on the German Emperor's desktop soon.
Unlike William II's half-baked military level, the two people in front of him have older qualifications than themselves, and the other is the only person in the German army who has formulated practical strategies after entering the 1980s. The Blue Legion fought well, and the prince behind it made a great contribution, which is not something you can ignore. If you cannot give an explanation, then the emperor's suspicion of Schliffen's plan will be even more serious.
"And your estimate of the ammunition and supplies needed by the army is too low. If I remember correctly, in your plan, the amount of shells is three times that of the Franco-Prussian War. But in fact, in the not-fever battle in the Far East, the ammunition consumption of each artillery reached about 5 times the amount of Franco-Prussian War! If the number of people changes are considered, once the war starts again, the total amount of bullet consumption will be about 15 times the amount of bullet consumption in the Franco-Prussian War! There is a problem with your calculation basis." The prince then made up a shot.
Chapter completed!