"It seems that in the first stage of the war, we can only be thugs, not chess players." Redel said to Su Xiong after pouring himself a cup of coffee. As Su Xiong's old partner, this time Redel also accompanied the German fleet to the United States and continued to be Su Xiong's chief of staff.

"Yes, we are just thugs, not chess players." Su Xiong nodded and said with a glass of wine.

"So when can we become chess players?" Raidel asked.

"I don't know, maybe it will take 3 months, maybe we will always be thugs," said Su Xiong.

"What do you mean is that the US Navy may take down New Ireland in one go?" Radell said, touching his chin. "If the first step of the battle is successful, then Rabauer, located on New Britain, will be quickly taken down. After all, New Ireland is a narrow island east-west island, which is a shield of Rabauer. If this shield is lost, Rabauer will definitely not be able to defend it. The Japanese can only withdraw to Guinea and then make a long-term plan."

"That's right. Actually, I think the Japanese may not fight the Americans in the first stage of the war. They may just be delayed and consumed. The Japanese are very clear about the gap in their strength with the United States. Even if they want to fight to the decisive battle, they will probably be on Kariman Island or Java Island."

"And to be honest, let alone strategic decision-making and execution capabilities for the time being, I think the Americans' combat plan is still very good. They have refined all elements as much as possible and formulated nearly standardized response and management methods to make the entire campaign process as digitized as possible." Su Xiong said.

"The Americans have a good way to make plans, and their ideas are correct. The only problem is that the first step is designed with a big strategic goal. This step is easy to fall. However, considering the strong economic foundation and industrial capabilities of the United States, some losses are not serious for them." Su Xiong finally said.

Su Xiong's meaning is already very clear. Although the Americans' strategic choices are not good, relying on strong industrial and national strength, and when they are willing to bear certain losses, they have the opportunity to take down the Bismarck Islands by force and materials. If this is successful, the Americans will naturally continue their plans and will not consider the opinions of the Germans. Only when the frontline is frustrated will the Americans incorporate Su Xiong and other German generals into the core circle of decision-making.

"I think the probability of the Americans successfully taking the Bismarck Islands is not very high." Raidel thought for a while and said, "I'm not saying that the Americans can't get it, but that the Americans may have to pay a very high price. This high price may shake the American's determination to fight."

"Why?" Su Xiong asked. He didn't expect that Redel was less optimistic about Americans than him.

"The current situation is like a huge hourglass. The smaller container on the top is Japan, and the much larger one is the United States. Although the United States has huge advantages, the connection point between the two is only a little bit in this battlefield! And the most important thing is that there is a guy named Britain connected to this small container in Japan. With the support of the British, it is very difficult for Americans to do." Redell said while drawing on paper.

"I have seen the Americans' combat plan, and many places did well, but I have to say that he took it too much. At least, in this battle, the Americans had absolutely no advantage in daytime reconnaissance, because the core of American aviation power is the five aircraft carriers. But what he needs to face is the Japanese land-based aircraft. Using sea-based aviation power to fight land-based aviation power is a very disadvantageous situation. Maybe it's okay at the beginning, but there will definitely be mistakes in a while. Considering that the aircraft carriers also need maintenance and supply. The offensive side's maritime aviation power will decay much faster than the defensive side." Raidel said.

Due to technical reasons, aircraft in this era were very sensitive to ranges. Although the Americans pushed forward the forward base as much as possible, unfortunately, those aircraft in the forward base still could not provide effective support to the US fleet in the Bismarck Islands. Even if the range was barely enough, what should people do? For example, the v1500 can fly in the air for more than 20 hours. If you let the pilots above fly for 20 hours before fighting, try fighting? It's so exhausted! It's still a big deal! This is not a bomber for World War II, and it has relatively complete survival facilities. Not to mention combat in this era, even the so-called civil aviation passenger planes are very difficult.

As for why the formation of American aircraft carriers in history swept Japan's land-based aviation power in 1943? The reason is very simple. At that time, the Americans had overwhelming advantages in national strength, technology and personnel, but now, the United States does not have this advantage. Although Japan's aviation power is a chicken, but why do they have the support of the British, the British camel fighter, the Victory V12 night cold engine and the Rolls-Royce Hawk engine, at least not worse than the United States in terms of technical level. After all, the famous aircraft engine manufacturers in later generations have not yet made any efforts. The American aircraft engine technology is far inferior to that of the United States and Germany!

In addition, the war time was indeed a little more urgent. The Americans had only 5 aircraft carriers participating in the war, and other auxiliary rotations were still on the ship platform. Therefore, if you have to take on more than 400 carrier-based aircraft, you have to undertake fleet air defense, ground attacks and aviation reconnaissance tasks at the same time, this number is absolutely not enough. You must know that even in the Norwegian naval battle, the high seas fleet's carrier aircraft in their hands was no less than that of the Americans, and the pilots were of higher quality, they also used a large amount of land-based aviation power for reconnaissance, and the Americans now do not have this condition.

Once the aviation power decays, it will first mean the decay of the reconnaissance power, and then the gradual change of air supremacy! Of course, considering the Japanese's industrial ability, payment ability and pilot level, it is impossible to say that Japan has a sea aviation force that can pose a serious threat to a huge fleet, but even so, the Japanese can still be more proactive under the cover of land-based aviation power, and it is even possible to challenge the US fleet during the day. The reason is very simple. In the case of aviation reconnaissance, the Japanese fleet cannot defeat it by high speed, so they can always run? There are only 4 Bavarian-class battleships, do you dare to chase it?

The Japanese's style of play is flexible, but the United States is different. The reason is very simple. The US fleet must be responsible for hundreds of thousands of American troops and engineers on the landing field! This is equivalent to being tied up, and in this case, it is already very passive from the battle level.
Chapter completed!