Hua Youlan can understand Lu Weimin's mood.

I am used to doing practical work at the local level. When I get to the ministries and commissions, it is either procedural receptions or inspections and surveys. This is probably a bit disappointing for an official who is in the prime of his life, especially Lu Weimin.

He has successively served as Secretary of the Songzhou Municipal Party Committee and Secretary of the Landao Municipal Party Committee, which can be said to hold a lot of power. Now the economic aggregate of these two cities has entered the top ten cities in the country. From the Secretary of the Landao Municipal Party Committee to the Central Political Research Institute, he suddenly

Although Lu Weimin, deputy director of the office and deputy director of the Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, nominally went to Beijing to receive important positions, from Lu Weimin's perspective, there may still be some psychological gaps. Some adjustments are not good, and he may be prone to problems.

Fortunately, Lu Weimin has a strong ability to control himself, quickly entered the state, and also achieved remarkable results. However, Hua Youlan felt that Lu Weimin himself would be more willing to do it.

Some concrete work.

The central government's purpose for letting Lu Weimin come to Beijing is rather complicated. According to Hua Youlan's judgment, it is both a tempering factor and a slow-down process to allow Lu Weimin to restrain himself. After all, Lu Weimin's development in the past ten years has been

It was too smooth, almost rising steadily, and he was appointed as a deputy ministerial cadre at the age of 38, which can be regarded as a historical record.

But whether it is tempering or settling, this is just a short salute process. How long will it take? Two years is also tempering, and three years is also settling, so it is difficult to say for sure, but Hua Youlan can judge that it will not take too long. Her

It is estimated that it will be two to two and a half years. Now Lu Weimin has been working in the central government for a year and a half, maybe only a year and a half, and the significance of this period of hard work and precipitation for Lu Weimin's growth cannot be underestimated.

, especially since Lu Weimin can still shine in these two positions.

"For the people, you don't have to be too impatient. The central government has the central government's considerations. Your performance in Changjiang and Qilu is obvious to all. Why, you are still worried that your performance in Beijing will affect the central government's consideration of your appointment? Are you afraid of keeping you in Beijing?"

Hua Youlan asked with a smile: "This is a good thing that people can't even ask for."

"That's not the case. Secretary Youlan, you also know that what I have done during this period has been quite controversial. There are those who agree and support it, and there are those who are against it and criticize it. It has also caused some reactions within our system. This actually shows that I

I am not very suitable for working in this field, or I am not very suitable for working in this environment. Of course, I don’t think there is anything wrong with the work I do. It’s just that the above needs to be more thoughtful and careful. It may require some

Balance it." Lu Weimin's words were very vague.

Hua Youlan shook her head, "I don't think so. As you said, many jobs need to keep pace with the times and cannot stick to old rules. China twenty years ago was different from China ten years ago.

China is different from the current China. The situation and situation have changed. Of course, we need to prescribe the right medicine and study policies that are suitable for our current national conditions and national interests. I just suggest that you be more thoughtful in your approach. It does not mean that you should

You have given in and backed down on your own views, and the facts have proved that your views and opinions are in line with the current situation. The top leaders of the central government have also given you affirmation, which is enough to explain everything."

"It's not entirely due to this aspect." Lu Weimin also shook his head, "Whether it is the Central Political Research Office or the International Department of the CPC Central Committee, it also needs to have sufficient basic knowledge reserves to be able to truly display it. Now I am just opportunistic. From a

The perspective of an outsider breaks some stereotypes, so it is a bit refreshing for the senior management. In fact, as long as this layer of membrane is peeled away, everyone will understand. But I feel that I am still missing some of the most basic things.

.It cannot be made up in the short term. It is said that there is a specialization in the profession. If I continue, maybe I will expose my secret."

Lu Weimin's slightly self-deprecating words made both Hua Youlan and Lu Weimin laugh.

"For the people, I believe that the central government has arrangements. Your piece of gold must be placed at the most appropriate time to shine brightest." Hua Youlan was quite confident when she said this.

Entering the second decade of the 21st century, Hua Youlan clearly felt that the domestic economy seemed to have reached a peak and began to trend downward.

Although last year's multi-trillion stimulus plan once again boosted domestic economic growth, she feels that after so many years of ultra-high-speed growth, it is a certainty that China will become the world's second largest economy, and becoming the second largest economy is inevitable.

Not all big economies are good things. At least with such a huge economic aggregate, it is not easy to grow even 01 percentage points more. The old routine of relying solely on investment to drive growth may be showing signs of failure, but so far the top management seems to be unable to do so.

A better solution has not yet been found, and it is still in an exploratory period. In addition, the international economic situation is not optimistic, and the squeeze on the domestic economy is becoming more and more serious.

She had just taken over from governor to secretary of the provincial party committee, and she felt the pressure even more. Hunan Province is also a strong central economic province with manufacturing as the mainstay. However, affected by the economic downturn at home and abroad, the manufacturing industry in Hunan Province has also shown signs of decline.

The ups and downs have emerged. Although the domestic multi-trillion stimulus plan has once again led to economic recovery, including the real estate industry, and the manufacturing industry has also struggled from weakness, how much stamina does this growth have, and is it sustainable? Hua You

Lan was skeptical. She came today just to exchange views on this aspect with Lu Weimin and listen to what Lu Weimin had to say, as he had unique talents in smell and vision.

After listening to Hua Youlan's views on the current economic development situation, Lu Weimin still felt a little emotional. As the secretary of the provincial party committee, Hua Youlan is quite capable and has some foresight in this regard. She has already realized that China's

The golden age of ultra-high-speed development has come to an end, and perhaps it is time to enter a new normal of medium-to-high-speed and stable development.

But there is still some uncertainty in Hua Youlan's words. After all, judging from this year's data, the development speed across the country is still quite impressive. Many people in the domestic economic circle are still optimistic about China's economic development, believing that China's current urbanization rate is in line with

Compared with developed countries, the urbanization rate is still very low, and there is still a big gap. This urbanization demand alone is enough to support the development of domestic heavy chemical industries.

They judge that China's economic development still has at least twenty years of golden period, so they believe that the current economic downturn affected by the foreign financial crisis is short-lived. As long as it survives this period, China's economic development will still be bright.

This view has a strong market in the country.

Of course, some experts and scholars believe that China's economy will still be good in the long run. However, with changes in the overall economic volume, China has become the world's second largest economy and a major trading country.

As the number of digits increases, it may gradually return to a more normal level between 8% and 9%, and may even further drop to around 8%, but overall it is still improving, after all, based on this total amount

Maintaining an economic growth rate of around 8% is already very impressive.

"Weimin, do you think the current situation will be a turning point, or will it become a normal trend?" Hua Youlan finally asked.

"What turning point do you mean?" Lu Weimin didn't understand what Hua Youlan meant for a while.

"I mean, what kind of trend do you think China's economic growth will take next?" Hua Youlan said: "Will it turn around and go down, or will it maintain the current stable momentum?"

"A U-turn downward is inevitable. It is unlikely that China's economy will return to the double-digit era. I estimate that it may be more difficult to achieve more than 9%. However, this downward trend is not a cliff-like drop, but a steep decline.

A gentle downward trend, such as 9% this year, maybe 85% next year, maybe 8% the year after that, and maybe 75% the year after that, will show this downward trend year by year and is irreversible.”

Lu Weimin said with certainty: "This can actually be seen from multiple levels. First, the situation of overcapacity will become more and more serious, and even become very serious after this wave of strong stimulus. Second, the impact of investment on economic development

The stimulus will become smaller and smaller, and investment efficiency will continue to decline. Third, consumption has never played a dominant role in driving the economy. If these problems cannot be solved, it will be difficult for the Chinese economy to embark on the path of healthy development."

"Do you think economic growth will show a one-way downward trend in the next few years?" Hua Youlan was a little surprised and couldn't help but ask.

Lu Weimin's affirmative tone made her feel worried, especially his prediction of a decline of almost 0.5 percentage points every year, which made her shudder.

As the *Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee, she knows very well that if the economy continues to decline by 0.5 percentage points per year, it will have a huge impact on inland provinces like Hunan that are dominated by manufacturing, employment, and local finance.

Income, industrial adjustment, these issues will be faced almost immediately, and as soon as I took over as Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee, I will face the challenge of a continued economic decline. It cannot but be said that I caught up with a bad time.

"This is inevitable and irreversible. After China has experienced a golden growth period for more than ten years, it is time to enter a more normalized development period. This is normal. I think this is also a good thing. It will squeeze out some excess

production capacity, squeeze out some water, at the same time optimize the industrial structure, promote the export of capital and technology, this is a normal development process, everyone has to face this problem." Lu Weimin did not hide anything in front of Hua Youlan, "Domestic

The economy itself also has some problems, and this round of economic downturn can be adjusted and regulated by market rules. From a certain level, this is a good thing."

Ranking at 12pm! (To be continued...)
Chapter completed!