~.-~ "Don't keep it so secret!" Bush Sr. smiled gently: "People say that an excellent boss, especially the super rich, usually pays more attention to the international situation. I don't believe it, you really don't know anything!"

"Damn, it seems that if I don't say anything today, I'm afraid this old guy really doesn't believe it anymore," Lin Yu looked at Old Bush, who was like a fox, and had to quickly flash some countermeasures in his heart.

It is difficult to deceive a smart person into being deceived, but if what you say is not a pure deception, then I believe that no matter how smart a person is, he will not be able to resist being deceived.

"Do you really want to hear my opinion on the international situation?" Lin Yu looked at Bush, who had an unquestionable expression. So he nodded and said, "Okay, then I'll tell you a little bit of my own opinion!"

Lin Yu remembers that the main reason why the United States launched the Iraq War in his previous life was to dominate international oil prices by controlling oil in Iraq and the Middle East, thereby attacking European economic opponents.

The United States wanted to control Iraq's major oil fields by winning the war, and then subcontract the oil fields to oil companies in other countries to obtain high profits. After the Gulf War, the United States gained huge oil benefits through this method. In more than a year after the war, the oil price was more than $20 higher than before the war. Behind the United States' firm control over oil extraction, which drove the United States' economic growth by nearly 1 percentage point.

However, since the outbreak of the Iraq War, contractors including France Total and Russia Luke Oil Company have expressed their determination to firmly grasp the oilfield mining contracts, claiming that even if regime changes occur, the mining contracts are still valid according to international law. Other contractors have also done a lot of technical work in order to gain favorable status in negotiations with the new post-war regime. Therefore, even if the United States wins this Iraq War, it is not easy for the United States to easily gain control of oil.

Let’s take a step back. Even if the United States has gained the dominance of oil. Since Iraq’s oil field equipment has become quite outdated after more than 10 years of economic sanctions, the current daily oil production is only 2 million barrels. It is even more difficult to maintain the current output after the war, and it will be at least two years later to resume normal operations. This is very different from the “selling and selling” after the Gulf War in 1991.

What's more, Saddam is not unaware of the possibility of ordering the army to set fire to all oil fields under the storm. According to the latest reports, the Iraqi military has ignited several oil fields in southern Iraq. Due to sandstorms, the United States cannot extinguish the oil field fires in a short period of time.

From the above analysis, it is unlikely that the United States will fully control oil as it did after the Gulf War. After the outbreak of the Iraq War, international crude oil prices fell for a while, but as the war evolved from a "quick battle and quick decision" to a long-term war, the vast majority of international oil market participants are bullish on oil prices. John Felmi, chief economist of the American Petroleum Society, admitted that every $5 rise in an oil price will reduce the U.S. economic growth rate by 0.3% in the next six months or more. The U.S. Department of Energy estimates that oil prices will rise by $10 per barrel. The U.S. economic growth rate will decrease by 0.5 percentage points.

The United States also has a guaranteed strategy, that is, let EU countries and other countries pay to support them in launching wars and participate in post-war reconstruction in Iraq and the entire Middle East. This "money-seeking" strategy of the United States worked very well during the Gulf War in 1991. At that time, 90% of the United States spent money was shared by countries such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Japan and Germany. However, the situation of the Iraq War was very different. Due to the huge differences between the United States and France, Germany, Russia and other countries, the United States bypassed the United Nations and unilaterally used military force against Iraq, and gained accumulation from various countries on military expenditure.

The possibility of extreme sharing has greatly narrowed, and the "money-seeking" strategy encountered huge resistance. Saudi Arabia, which shared the most war costs in the Gulf War, refused to pay another penny for the war on the grounds that "the domestic situation is 100% opposed to the attack on Iraq." The Japanese government has also stated that due to the deteriorating financial situation in Japan and the pressure of public opinion, Japan no longer bears the war costs like it did during the Gulf War. Some countries even asked the United States to provide compensation or economic aid, and the US government will pay $30 billion in spending, of which $6 billion is free aid.

Even if the United States finally occupied Iraq as it wished, the issue of post-war reconstruction will make the United States worry. Out of reflection and lessons about the Kosovo War, it is unlikely that the EU will generously donate Iraq's post-war reconstruction. EU officials even publicly stated that the consequences of the war should be the responsibility of the initiator of the war.

In this way, the United States' "money-seeking" strategy will abort, which will put a heavy burden on the U.S. fiscal situation. Before the war began, President Bush's public budget for war expenses was between $50 billion and $61 billion. But this is just a budget. As the war drags on, it is generally believed that the cost of war will exceed $70 billion. Analysts predict that (--House. The fastest update.) If the spending on Iraq is included, the US government's fiscal deficit in fiscal 2003 may exceed $400 billion, and the US economic growth will light up a red light.

On December 20, 1983, Ramsfeld, who was the envoy of US President Reagan, came to Baghdad, the capital of Iraq. Saddam cordially received him and held talks with him. The two shook hands cordially at the time. Ramsfeld conveyed President Reagan's greetings to Saddam and said he was "very happy to be in Baghdad." Ramsfeld also told Saddam that the United States was ready to fully restore relations with Iraq. Saddam later said that he was going to Ramsfeld for his coming.

The visit was "very happy" because it "revealed Iraq's relations with the United States to a new level." It can be said that Ramsfeld's Iraqi behavior paved the way for normalizing relations between the two countries. However, according to declassified US government documents, when Ramsfeld visited Iraq, it was the time when the Iraqi army frequently used chemical weapons against the Iranian army despite the ban on international treaties. However, in order to make Iraq stop Iran, the United States did not condemn Iraq at all.

The declassified U.S. government documents show that the decision 11 4, passed by the U.S. National Security Council on November 26, 1983, decided that the U.S. government formally leaned towards Iraq. According to U.S. officials in the Reagan administration era, the main content of this decision order is that the United States should do everything possible to prevent Iraq from losing in the Iraq-Iraq War. Ramsfeld visited Iraq a month later in order to implement the U.S. National Security Council decision 114.

A direct result of Ramsfeld's visit to Iraq was that in the five years since then, the United States provided Iraqi military with a large amount of military intelligence, worth billions of dollars in military and economic aid. In order to create convenient conditions for Iraq to purchase weapons from around the world, the Reagan administration also implemented a secret action plan code-named "Consolidation" to ensure that Iraq's energy sources continue to obtain weapons, while the United States tried every means to prevent Iran from obtaining weapons. In addition, the Reagan administration exported US companies to Iraq

Dual-use military and civilian supplies have always turned a blind eye. In 1994, the US Senate found that US intelligence and logistical support played a key role in Iraq in the Iraq-Iraq War. Reagan and the father of the current US President Bush, Bush, had authorized the sale of a large number of biological agents to Iraq, including variant anthrax and plague viruses. These have become the main source of Iraq's biological and chemical weapons. So, if Saddam today is "a man-eating tiger", then this tiger is also fed to the United States!

Lin Yu still knew the Iraq War very well, so he spoke, "I heard that Congress is very sensitive to the Middle East?"

When he mentioned this, Bush Old Man said angrily: "Those bastards in Congress know the interests. Are interests so easy to get? In the end, I have to put all these bad things on my head."

"Forget it, I won't talk about this." Bush, the old man waved helplessly and said, "I've finished talking about the economy and the world situation. Now let's talk about women! I think this topic is definitely easy for you?"

"Don't say that." Lin Yu said flatteredly: "I'm already married, so where can I say anything appropriate?"

"Haha, do you still want to hide it from me?" Bush, the old man, smiled "hehe" and pulled open the drawer, then threw a stack of photos over: "Look at it for yourself."

"Damn, you actually have this hobby again?" Lin Yu immediately became angry when he saw these photos, and glared at Bush. He said in a deep voice: "Mr. President, I think you should give me a perfect explanation for this."

Look at what the photos in Lin Yu’s hands are all about! There are intimate photos of him and Evra, photos of him and Sophia hugging each other, photos of Liang Shiqi and him, and... In short, these photos are simply Lin Yu’s best life photos.

"Are you angry?" Bush smiled and took out a bottle of red wine and two cups from his desk. After unscrewing the lid, he said with a smile while pouring the wine: "If you want to blame, you can only blame yourself!"

"Myself?" Lin Yu was so angry that he sneered: "Although you have state machines, you must know that I can still sue you for peeping at me. Humph!"

"Haha, don't be angry first, come and have a drink!" Bush, the old man, brought out the wine, then stuffed it into Lin Yu's hand tough.~.-~
Chapter completed!