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Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 32 Investigation

It is said that "the county has a Balochi style dinner" is a few servings that are added as a deletion.

...

Because I didn't eat much during the day, Pei Chengyi suggested eating and chatting so as not to change the delicious foods that were burnt on the outside and tender on the inside. Yuan Chenhao also arranged this way, so after the chef specially invited brought the last dish, he sent other people away. The address of this site has been changed to: Xia, please log in to Yuandu.

"What did you gain from your trip to Iran?"

"How to say it? Some aspects are better than we expected, while others are worse than we expected Pei Chengyi put down his chopsticks, drank a sip of wine, and said, "Overall, the Iranian authorities have a strong sense of crisis. Ahmadinejad and Hash both have no hope for the current situation in the Middle East, and both believe that war is inevitable. The difference is that Ahmadinejad's attitude is more cautious, and Hash's attitude is much more positive

"This is easy to understand. Spiritual leaders are in charge of war. If there is no war, life will be bad.

Pei Chengyi smiled. He put down his wine glass and said, "The biggest difference is the two people's understanding of Iran's future, or their understanding of Iran's development model. Although they have only met twice, in my opinion, Ahmadinejad hopes to build Iran into a normal country, even if the influence of religion on politics cannot be eliminated, and the influence must be minimized and a secular Islamic country similar to Turkey. Hash's idea is more traditional. Regardless of whether he realizes that Iran has been on the wrong path for more than half a century, and whether he believes that the new system can bring a better future to Iran, under the limitation of identity, he will definitely adhere to the current development route."

“That’s why Hash is more positive.”

Pei Chengyi was not in a hurry to express his opinions, and he also wanted to hear Yuan Chenhao's opinions.

"The Iran War more than 20 years ago made Iran the most powerful country in the Gulf region. Even if the Arab countries in the south of the Gulf collectively arrived in Goeh, it also helped Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE and other countries that made their fortunes from oil to change from unilateral policies to multilateral policies, and actively sought cooperation with major powers outside the United States. From then on, we gradually caught up with and surpassed the United States, becoming the largest arms supplier in the Gulf region." Yuan Chenhao paused for a moment and said, "Comparing with the national power is the influence of Iran's highest spiritual leader, or the influence of Shi'a Muslims. Even if Hash's personal actions are not considered, after the Iran War, with the emergence of Shi'a regime in Iraq, Iran's highest Iranian regime, and Iran's highest Iranian regime is in contrast to the national power. Even if Hash's personal actions are not considered, after the Iran War, after the Shi'a regime appeared in Iraq, Iran's highest Iranian regime.

The prestige of spiritual leaders has reached its peak. Through the rapid expansion and development of the following twenty years, a kilogram of interest groups was formed in Iran and Iraq with the highest spiritual leader as the center, and almost all members of this kilogram of interest groups made a difference in the Iran war. In other words, this is an interest group that made a fortune through war and gained social power through war. Judging from the situation in Iran alone, as the Ahmadinejad government spared no effort to promote economic reforms, hoping to launch political reforms, thereby changing the structure of interest groups. As long as the time is ripe, those threatened interest groups will find ways to turn the situation around. The best way is nothing more than a war.

"It seems that you, the commander of the South Asian theater commander, are also very concerned about politics."

"This place is less than 100 kilometers away from Iran. As long as there is a little movement there, we can feel it here." Yuan Chenhao smiled and said, "As long as I wear a military uniform, you have to think of war. As the commander of the war zone, even if it is not very funny with the political situation in Iran, as long as it is possible to trigger a war, I will increase my fear and make preparations. I am not afraid of you making jokes. In the past few years, the first thing I do after getting up tomorrow is to ask if there is any military and political situation in Iran."

After Yuan Chenhao said this, Pei Chengyi also laughed.

"To be honest, I can breathe a sigh of relief when I fight." Yuan Chenhao sighed. He said, "From the situation at the War Zone Command, Iran's domestic conflicts have reached a point where they have to be resolved. If Ahmadinejad and Hash had not had any foreign threats that were a bit jealous of the mouse, a military coup would have broken out long ago. In my opinion, the United States actively planned the Middle East war at this time, which is also related to the domestic situation in Iran.

"As you mean, the United States is helping Iran resolve domestic strife."

"It's not a solution. Instead, it's using Yuan Chenhao to take out a cigarette and said, "The United States has pursued a "adversary policy for decades. The core idea is to use its opponents to achieve its goal, so if there is no opponent, create an opponent. Before that, our Middle East policy was very simple, that is, you play yours, and I play mine, and I don't fight against the United States at all. In fact, Syria, which we actively support, has never posed a threat to the United States, nor has it even the ability to threaten the United States. Instead, Iran, which has close ties with Russia, is a thorn in the United States' side and a thorn in the flesh. The question is, will Russia support Iran to confront the United States? The answer is obvious

However, no. Russia uses Iran at most, and will not support Iran. That's why the United States has not dealt with Iran for more than ten years. It was not until Ahmadinejad came to power that Iran became the number one strong enemy of the United States in the Middle East again. After finally finding an enemy, the United States will definitely not give up this enemy easily. In fact, before the United States finds a specific way to use Iran to achieve its interests, it still has to find ways to ensure the stability of Iran's political situation. From the past few years, the United States has seen that when helping Israel deal with Syria, the United States did not target Iran, but claimed that we had created it.

"Mao, policy shows that the US authorities have not found a suitable solution for the Kurdish issue, and the United States has only found a way to deal with Iran."

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, as if he didn't fully understand Yuan Chenhao's meaning.

"Although the United States seeks absolute dominance in the Middle East is the main cause of this crisis, but when it comes to the perspective, because we are not a Middle East country, our influence in the Middle East is far less than that of the United States, and we have not confronted the United States head-on. Iran is the first choice enemy of the United States. Therefore, when Iran may have a military coup, the United States has reason to take the initiative to overturn the last obstacle and use Iran to detonate the Middle East explosive barrel in advance." Yuan Chenhao took a few puffs of cigarettes and said, "If the United States wants to reshuffle the Middle East, it must create a battle to involve several major countries in it.

Large-scale regional wars in China must keep Iran in normal state. Imagine that if a military coup broke out in Iran, no matter who wins, in the next few years, the first thing Iranians in power will dominate the domestic opposition rather than exporting the Islamic revolution, and it is even more impossible to fight against the United States on the Middle East issue. What reason will the United States use to support Israel and Turkey to dominate the Middle East? If we consider our influence, the US authorities have more reason to let Iran lose in the hands of the US military under relatively independent circumstances, rather than falling into our hands in chaos.

.

"No matter what, war is inevitable." If you read the most important chapter, choose the tears book.

"Inevitable!" Yuan Chenhao nodded, affirming Pei Chengyi's point of view. The address of this site has been changed to: Foot Link Ao Peng, please log in to Yuandu.

"When I came here, I obtained the deployment of the South Asian War Theater Command from the Military Intelligence Bureau. " Pei Chengyi did not talk much and put it into the main topic. "According to Lao Li's arrangements, we must act in a low-key manner before the negotiations break down, and we cannot openly prepare for war. In other words, adopt the Indian war model, first formulate the profits of the war, estimate the investment of troops and materials in advance, and allocate the logistics support force. Although Lao Li asked me to be responsible for this matter, you also know that this is a secret operation. This time I came to inspect the situation as the special adviser of the head of state. Provide reference materials for the annual promotion work, stay for a few days at most, and will not stay and take charge of the specific work. I am not at ease to hand over such important things to others, so I want you to be responsible for the war plan."

Yuan Chenhao frowned slightly and said, "To formulate a war plan is nothing. If only problems occur, who will take responsibility?"

"I am the commander-in-chief. Of course I will be responsible."

Xi Chenhao nodded and said, "If this is the case, I will do my best."

"If you have any requirements, please submit them as soon as possible and I can find a way to solve it."

"There is no big problem, it is just that there is not enough staff, and there is particularly lack of experienced and talented senior consultants.

"This is not easy to deal with." Xi Chengyi sighed and said, "You also know that I am just a special consultant now. I just want Lao Li to be responsible and I don't have much to do with the General Staff."

"With Lao Li there, there is something I can't do?"

"I'll talk to him after I go back and let him have a headache."

Yuan Chenhao laughed and said, "So, you will leave in a few days?"

"I stayed for three days at most, and I thought of going downstairs to take a look." Pei Chengyi said with a smile, "You also know that I like to understand the situation of the troops from the grassroots level. Although most of the combat troops in the South Asian theater have participated in the Indian War, and some have participated in peacekeeping operations in Somalia and Yemen, so many veterans have gone through the years, and there are not many people who have been promoted and promoted, and the combat effectiveness of the troops must have been affected. If the Indian War is a devastating battle, then what we have to face this time is a real fierce battle. If you don't go downstairs and find out some of the most basic information, I can't even sleep well."

"Compared with six years ago, the current troops are completely different." Yuan Chenhao sighed and said, "Let's do this, I'll accompany you. Anyway, the new staff officers don't want to see me, and there's nothing else in the past few days. I haven't been to the grassroots level for a long time, let's go for a walk together.

Xi Chenhao said so, and Pei Chengyi had nothing to say.

In the next two days, accompanied by Yuan Chenhao, Pei Chengyi inspected several nearby troops stationed in Guadal Port, the main force of the patrol fleet was several large maritime police ships, that is, quasi-military ships specially used to deal with pirates. The permanent resident naval aviation forces stationed in Jiji were only a number of large aircraft, half of which were long-range patrol aircraft that cooperated with maritime police ships to deal with pirates. The others were large electronic aircraft affiliated to the Air Force, but controlled by the Military Intelligence Bureau and the Defense Security Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense, which is the so-called spy aircraft. The permanent resident Marine Corps stationed in Bethney only had one infantry battalion and one military intelligence company, but the base could accommodate three land combat brigades when necessary.

The biggest impression that Pei Chengyi gave this inspection was that there were too many new faces.

In the late period of the Indian War, that is, the capture of Hydebala, before advancing to Bangalore, Pei Chengyi visited the grassroots troops and met many grassroots officers. Six years have passed, and the troops in the South Asian theater have not been replaced, but all the soldiers have changed. Take grassroots officers and non-commissioned officers as examples. Less than 10% of those who participated in the Indian War were either retired or promoted to middle- and senior officers. In addition, the third military reform also produced a large number of grassroots officers who laid off a large number of grassroots officers who took advantage of Xun’s neighbors and were able to integrate into society and chose to retire voluntarily. Those with this courage and ideas are often outstanding soldiers.

The biggest impact of this change is the decline in combat effectiveness of the troops.

You should know that in order to prepare for the Indian War, after the Southern Tibet conflict, the Republic not only did not disarmament, but also tried every means to keep veterans who had participated in the battle and promoted a large number of grassroots officers with practical experience. By the time the Indian War broke out, the combat effectiveness of the Republic's army reached its peak, otherwise it would not have been possible to repair the first-popular country in just half a year to obey.

After the Indian War, Wang Yuanqing focused on domestic political reforms and repeatedly emphasized the importance of peaceful development. Although there is reason to believe that Wang Yuanqing had long expected that the Middle East would not be too calm, otherwise he would not have done so much before leaving office, but a few years ago, Wang Yuanqing was unlikely to believe that the Middle East crisis evolved into a regional war directly involved in two kilograms of superpowers. To put it simply, if Wang Yuanqing expected that the Republic would be involved in the Middle East War and would very likely face the United States on the battlefield, regardless of whether he wanted to or not, he would not have launched the third military reform in 2 phenol years, and would not even let Gu Weimin take over.

Although one investigation could not draw conclusions, Pei Chengyi had reason to believe that the current Republican army was definitely not the tiger and wolf army 6 years ago.

Fortunately, the Middle East is not a region of South Asia. The Republic does not need to fight for it.

On the afternoon of April, Pei Chengyi left Gwadar Port and set off to return to Beijing.

Before leaving, he called Li Cunxun in front of Yuan Chenhao, hoping that Li Cunxun could find a way to add a group of experienced senior staff to the South Asian theater as soon as possible. Although this matter should be found in the General Staff, Li Cunxun knew about Pei Chengyi and Lin Xiaolei's relationship, so he agreed immediately. That's why when Pei Chengyi was on a special plane flying from the Jiji Air Force Base, the first batch of staff had already reported to the theater headquarters.

On the way to the country, Pei Chengyi wrote the inspection report.

Although he handed over the work of the thugs to Yuan Chenhao, Pei Chengyi did not relax. As a joint commander, he had to be responsible for the war. More importantly, according to the information revealed by Li Cunxun, because the situation in the Middle East is particularly complicated, whether it is Pei Chengyi or Yuan Chenhao, one pound, people will definitely not be able to play with each other. Even if they follow the method used in the Indian War, that is, to set up two commanders, the two will have to act separately. Therefore, Pei Chengyi not only needs to grasp the overall situation, but also be responsible for specific tactical command. In this way, Pei Chengyi must have some understanding of the situation of the troops and take these factors into consideration when formulating the war plan.

When it comes to details, Pei Chengyi’s problems are exposed.

Compared with Yuan Chenhao, Pei Chengyi, who had been in the Physical Experiment Center for several years, had a far less understanding of the army. More importantly, after the Indian War, affected by various factors, Pei Chengyi once had the idea of ​​leaving the army, and began to transform after the conflict in the Cabernets Island, working hard to get rid of his identity as a soldier. In fact, his efforts have achieved good results, especially when his old rival Du Qiwei stepped into the core circle of American politics step by step. In the eyes of many people, Pei Chengyi wasted his talents if he did not develop into politics. In this way, Pei Chengyi wanted to contact the army and would not have many opportunities. In a sense, Wang Yuanqing asked Pei Chengyi to join the "Yanhuang Plan Thug" before leaving office and

In this case, he sent him to the Physical Experiment Center, and even excluded Pei Chengyi when he decided to choose the Chief of Staff. He did not let him become the commander of the South Asian theater. He hoped that Pei Chengyi could get rid of the influence of his military status as soon as possible and make contributions to the political circle. It can be seen that Wang Yuanqing certainly did not expect that the situation in the Middle East would deteriorate to the extent that a war would inevitably break out in just a few years. Otherwise, even if he recognized Pei Chengyi's political talent, he would have allowed Pei Chengyi to work in the army for a few more years. When the Middle East War was over, he would have entered the political circle with the help of outstanding military achievements that no one could achieve. At that time, even if Pei Chengyi could not become a general like Grant, he could still become a politician like Eisenhower.

No matter what, Pei Chengyi must find a way to make up for these problems.

It was not only Pei Chengyi who found the problem. It was Li Cunxun's arrangement to ask him to inspect the South Asian theater. In other words, Li Cunxun knew what Pei Chengyi lacked and needed.

The problem is that one inspection can't solve the problem at all.

Shi Pei Chengyi said that the blessing of misfortune was that he was not a general who had climbed up from the grassroots level, nor was he a general who had tactical talents to lead the war. From the day he became a commander, he had to rely on his strategic strength and his ability to accurately judge the overall situation of the war to defeat the enemy. He was a very rare genius senior commander. For him, mastering the situation of grassroots troops was only one of the conditions for defeating the enemy, and it was not the most important condition.

Of course, this inspection made Pei Chengyi realize that a catty, and more importantly, the question is

Yuan Chenhao is no longer the colonel's staff officer, but the first-class lieutenant general of the army who is about to be on par with him, and is the dignified commander of the South Asian War Theater.
Chapter completed!
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