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Chapter 399 Prophecy

The weather in May has become extremely hot, and the breath of scorching heat is blowing against our faces. People always like to go to the beach for a walk in the morning or evening and enjoy the sea breeze.

This summer seems to be hotter than previous years. The news that China has surpassed the United States to become the largest importer of crude oil has added firewood to this summer.

China Customs data officially announced that oil imports in April reached 7.4 million barrels per day, equivalent to one-third of global daily oil consumption, exceeding the United States' daily imports of 7.2 million barrels.

It is also expected that China's oil imports will continue to exceed those of the United States every month in the second half of this year, and that the full-year oil imports will exceed those of the United States for the first time.

This marks the culmination of a major shift in energy flows over the past decade.

In these years, the 2008 crisis in China soon passed, and then it started six years of rapid economic development. The annual economic growth exceeded 10%. With rapid economic growth, the consumption of oil is increasing day by day, even if China's new

The annual production and sales of energy vehicles are increasing significantly, but they still cannot change the growth of China's oil consumption.

Although the United States has basically recovered from the economic quagmire in 2010, and the stock market has begun to rise again, higher oil prices and more energy-efficient cars have suppressed oil consumption, and the shale oil production that has surged in the past three years has also decreased.

oil imports.

Liu Yichen knows that this is a key node. Starting from this year, the United States' oil imports will continue to decrease. Relying on the production of shale oil, it will gradually become an oil exporting country. Then, changes in the energy market pattern will cause changes in the world situation.

Big change.

Nowadays, as China has become the world's largest oil importer, China imported 336 million tons of oil last year, and the amount of crude oil imported reached 134.5 billion US dollars. It can be said that oil is the lifeblood of energy. Regarding the safety of energy lifeline, whether it is

Both academic circles and ordinary people are paying more and more attention to it.

No one can imagine what a devastating blow China's economic development will suffer if maritime transportation lines emerge and oil cannot reach China.

It is precisely for this reason that there are increasing calls for strengthening the construction of the navy and building the navy into a powerful ocean-going navy that can protect the security of the energy lifeline.

Although there are constant reports about how many warships are being built at the same time, how many warships are launched, and how many warships are officially put into service... this kind of worry has never dissipated or slowed down.

.

By the same token, when it comes to chips, the focus of Chinese academic circles and the public is also getting higher and higher year by year. In 1999, China's chip sales totaled US$8.6 billion, accounting for only 5.9% of the global market. But by 2010,

China's integrated circuit imports reached US$156.7 billion. In 2011, the total value of imported chips reached US$165 billion. In 2012, the total value of imported chips reached US$192 billion per year. By 2013, the total size of the global semiconductor market was US$304.3 billion, and China imported

232.2 billion US dollars, ranking first in the world, but China relies on imports for 80% of its chips, and the remaining 20% ​​is still part of the production capacity of Intel's factories in China.

By 2014, China's integrated circuit market accounted for 52% of the global market share. However, the domestic chip asset rate was seriously insufficient, which was in sharp contrast to the huge market. The entire integrated circuit import volume reached 286.5 billion US dollars, approximately 1.8 trillion yuan, far exceeding

Oil has become the largest imported commodity.

By 2015 last year, the value of imported integrated circuits was US$230.7 billion, far exceeding the value of crude oil imports of US$134.5 billion.

Therefore, concerns about chips are also increasing day by day!

Liu Yichen knows that chip imports, if nothing unexpected happens, will continue to grow. Because even if Huaxia Chip Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. has begun small-scale trial production, large-scale mass production will take at least three years.

China exports a lot every year and is truly the factory of the world. However, the export of high value-added products does not account for a large proportion. Most of them are products with relatively low added value, and the profit is actually not much. And the imported ones are

Oil, chips, and high value-added products such as Apple mobile phones often make most of the profits.

And this is why young people work so hard and find it difficult to earn a monthly salary of 10,000 yuan, because the profits of Chinese enterprises are not enough to support high salaries.

Even those textile factories can make a profit, don't they rely on the low wages of textile workers, which are 3,000 to 5,000 yuan every month after hard work. But even so, more and more textile factories are still closing down because they are not making money.

And these textile factories have closed down, and the textile workers have not received a cent in compensation.

It is conceivable that in Chinese enterprises, the more formal ones are foreign enterprises, joint ventures, Internet enterprises, and high-tech enterprises. As for other companies, most people have never thought of giving employees overtime pay or compensation for dismissal, which is a dime.

No money at all.

Liu Yichen was wearing casual clothes and fur slippers, holding his son in his arms, walking on the beach with his wife, blowing in the sea breeze, and chatting about recent events.

As a scholar of international political economics, Feng Lin pays real-time attention to major events. At the beginning of this semester, she ended her maternity leave and continued to teach undergraduate classes. In addition to research and lectures,

, she will also appear on TV shows from time to time, accepting phone interviews or video connections.

Her reputation in the country has gradually grown, especially when it comes to Eastern Europe and Southeast Asia, where she is an authoritative expert.

But now, on the other side of the Pacific, the quadrennial draft has begun. An old man and an old woman are beginning to fight with each other, aiming for the throne.

At this time, everyone thought that the old woman would win, because behind that old woman was a big family, she had rich experience in politics, she was in a high position, she was powerful in the political arena, and she was rapidly gaining popularity.

Feng Lin initially thought that the old woman would win, because as long as she was a normal person, no one would think that she would lose. But Liu Yichen told her that it was not necessarily true. In fact, no one knew whether the two of them would win or lose until the last moment.

, even the old woman would capsize in the gutter.

"It's really unimaginable that you would think that!" Feng Lin was amazed.

"Our ancestors have a saying that a arrogant soldier will be defeated, and there is also a saying that even when a lion fights a rabbit, he must use all his strength." Liu Yichen smiled lightly and said: "That lady looks very beautiful, and she is extremely good in all aspects.

With advantages, there is no reason to fail no matter what.”

"However, no one has noticed that times have changed. Publicity channels are no longer just newspapers and TV. In this era, the publicity effect of the Internet is better. Look, the two people's presence on the Internet is almost ten times different!

"Liu Yichen sighed: "That person, in the Internet era, simply brings his own traffic. It is not an exaggeration to say that he is the world's largest Internet celebrity."

"Furthermore, in the past few years, many factories in the United States have closed down, and there are quite a lot of unemployed workers. Those Rust Belt cities don't follow that lady's example. They just want to work and maga!

"

"So, I personally think that the lady is probably going to capsize in the gutter this time."

Liu Yichen smiled lightly, looking particularly confident, because history has proven this. No one thought that a businessman would become a poor person, a representative of ordinary people, a perfect person with no political experience, and finally defeated a political veteran.

driver!

And this incident was also listed as the biggest black swan in 2016!

The vast majority of scholars and prophets around the world were slapped in the face, their eyes were filled with stars, and they had no idea what was going on and how it could happen.

"You have also been in the United States for a few years, and you should be able to notice that beneath the glamor, there is actually an undercurrent. Now the undercurrent is surging, and now this undercurrent has ushered in a leader!" Liu Yichen actually admired this person very much.

Mr. Lao, because his presence is so strong, he is definitely the number one internet celebrity in the world.

Feng Lin was a little stunned after hearing Liu Yichen's words, but she began to look thoughtful.

She actually understands that, on the surface, the general situation seems to be decided, but history has never lacked some things that go against common sense. If everything is analyzed directly theoretically, then there is no need to conduct an election.

Liu Yichen placed his son on the beach. Although the little guy couldn't walk yet, he was still very good at crawling.

The soft evening breeze is quite comfortable. As for the sea breeze that originally seemed to contain a faint fishy smell, I no longer feel anything after getting used to it.

"As for your previous research, regarding the changing trends of cooperation and competition between China and the United States, there is generally no big problem. Unless the United States makes changes and gives in, this trend cannot be reversed." Liu Yichen said with a smile.

: "But I have a feeling that the storm will be more violent!"

Liu Yichen has a relatively long perspective on many things and has experienced them, and by combining them together, Liu Yichen can see many things clearly.

For example, now facing the fields of oil, chips, etc., the country has actually seen this problem very early and made plans. For example, the navy's increased investment has led to the creation of two aircraft carriers and a dual-carrier fleet.

era, and then the Gulf of Aden escort began more than ten years ago, sending naval fleets to the Gulf of Aden, and then focusing on fighting pirates. These are all training troops, showing the existence of strength, and accumulating experience.

As for the chip field, as early as more than ten years ago, the country introduced various support policies. Unfortunately, the development of one field is not that fast. Coupled with the influence of external environmental factors, the development of China's chips appears to be relatively slow.

To your satisfaction.

Liu Yichen knew that the preferential policies enjoyed by Xia Chip Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. were simply shocking. The intensity of the discounts could be said to be enough to show determination.
Chapter completed!
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