Testimonials 800 Humans are not repeaters
(After the update yesterday, a reader asked if it was restored, and I will make an announcement again! No!
Starting from 795, all you see are "chapter comments". If you don't believe it, you can click to check your account balance before opening, and then read it. After reading it, you will find that there is no deduction for money. These are free comments for the work, not VIP chapters.
To be honest, it is prohibited to write an extra chapter after subscribing. The most intuitive direct loss is that it is 200 yuan less than the original loss. It is hard to say about the indirect loss, so I don’t forget it.
But I am a person who is more trustworthy and has to be loyal when I come out, so I will definitely finish the book after I finish it. I just think that I have lost a few thousand yuan and finished it in vain.)
When talking about performance, the most intuitive thing is of course to look directly at sales.
WPS-BOOK was launched for one and a half months, and the cumulative number of global dealer-level products has been counted at 210,000 units, which is very gratifying.
It is estimated that it will cost about 150,000 yuan per month, but considering that it can consume a wave of die-hard fans when it first starts, it will definitely not be averaged throughout the year, so the sales volume in a year can be about 1.5 million.
Chambers also knew who his competitor was and knew that Gu Ao was concerned about the overall situation, so he also attached the data of the opponent that could be found in a vague way.
Apple's POWER-BOOK is about a week earlier than Wang An's WPS-BOOK. In general, it can still be counted as the same period, and the time difference can be ignored. Apple's current total sales are 90,000 units, roughly equivalent to 40% of Wang An's WPS-BOOK.
IBM's THINK-PAD series will not be released until the summer vacation, so it has not yet been sold, and it will not be available in the market in more than a month, so there is no sales data for the time being.
It is estimated that the total capacity of the global laptop computer market will be only more than 2 million in 1992.
Other competitors who follow the Microsoft-Intel open operating system route currently do not have laptop products, only desktops. Of course, their total sales are still quite exaggerated.
According to industry data, currently, desktop computers based on MS-DOS 6.0 version can sell nearly 700,000 units per month worldwide, 8 million a year, of which North America has an annual increase of about 3 million - that is to say, even if Wang An and Apple are combined, it is only 60% of the Microsoft system's shareholding rate. When WINDOWS appears in the future, it will only worsen.
However, this cannot be stopped, and it is inevitable that the United States' comprehensive national strength will be strong. Since it cannot be changed, Gu Ao is too lazy to complain and worry meaninglessly.
As of mid-1992, the popularity of personal computers across the United States had just broken the critical point of 30% of the number of households across the United States, with a total stock of 17 million personal computers. The global personal computer ownership data also rose to 40 million.
For the new market part, the US stock currently expands by about 3 million to 4 million every year, and the global market is 8 million to 9 million.
The sales data is 20% more than the new stock, which means that the sales of personal computers in the United States this year can reach 5 million and 11 million worldwide - this is easy to understand, because a considerable number of users of personal computers who had been ten or eight years ago will also scrap old computers and upgrade them, so the ones sold must be more than the new stock.
These data have increased by 10% to 15% over the same period in another time and space history. The extra part is obviously the increase brought about by the mutual fight between Wang An and Apple.
With a large market of 5 million a year in the United States and 11 million a year in the world, Wang An’s notebooks can only account for 1.5 million.
Wang'an WPS desktop, released four years ago, bought 1 million yuan when it was first released, and it once rose to 1.3 million to 1.4 million yuan a year around 90 years ago. However, as Microsoft's MS-DOS 6.0 competition becomes increasingly fierce, the software richness of the Microsoft platform is gradually increasing, and now Wang'an's desktop sales have begun to shrink again. Chambers expects to only achieve 1.1 million units this year.
In other words, if the competition situation stabilizes, Wang Anneng will account for about 2.6 million in the global market this year of 11 million (9 million desktop computers and 2 million laptops).
It has increased by 2% from its market share two years ago. This is achieved under the high-pressure competition from Microsoft and the divergence of Apple, IBM and other miscellaneous brands. It is no longer easy.
"Under Microsoft's pressure, our market share can increase instead of falling. It's done a good job and deserves rewards." After reading the complete data, Gu Ao smiled and praised.
Chambers did not take credit and analyzed calmly: "This year's counter-trend growth is mainly due to the correct bet on the new model of laptop computers. Currently, computers with MS-DOS systems do not support laptops.
Microsoft has not even prepared for the broadband mode in terms of system display resolution. Of course, this is just the most intuitive shortcoming. DOS has many other details and has not made a foundation to support notebooks. We estimate that Microsoft will not launch a new system as soon as next year, and it will take at least more than a year to wait for hardware integrators to keep up with notebooks.
Therefore, it is expected that before the end of next year, you can see the desktop computers of Microsoft's new operating system, and at the end of next year, you can see the laptops of Microsoft's new system. These two years will be our last window."
People who don’t understand this era may be confused about the slow pace of Microsoft’s follow-up, but before the birth of the Internet, Microsoft’s overtaking frequency was basically this rhythm.
Because the industry rules of this era are destined, Bill Gates will be afraid of learning too closely, so the other party will give up innovation. Then he will kill the chicken to get the eggs and get it.
Both stealing boards and plagiarism cannot be used to fish, especially when the plagiarism party is the monopoly and no one snatches you, you can pay more attention to eating and decency.
If someone robs it, it will be another drama - for example, when Gu Ao later heard the "Xiaoshu" by Nao Daxin, he heard about the dilemma of musicians in the early days of the domestic Internet.
In the era of stealing boards and discs, the stolen board merchants at least need one or two months to record, production, and discs. Therefore, when the genuine product first came out, it could be sold exclusively for one and a half months, relying on this time difference to live.
When the Internet first came, music dealers died collectively, and almost all domestic record companies fell down. Because the Internet was copied too closely, there were genuine versions released today, and there were stolen resources available to download that day.
Ai Da tightened a group of brothers and found some people to go north to Tianjin to negotiate with the boss of the thief. He tried to persuade the other party to use the excuse of "If we really starve to death, you will not have to steal it in the future" to persuade the other party, "Let you sell the genuine version for 10 days first, and we will steal it after the 10-day period expires."
But is it useful? It's useless, because the leader of the Tianjin thief world who promised him was immediately rebelled by his younger brother.
The threshold for stealing resources was too low, and a little brother immediately pulled up a group of people to start his own business, and also established a new stealing site.
Therefore, the principles are the same: if the threshold for a thief is high, he can steal more elegantly and release water to raise fish. If the threshold for a thief is too low, the more tragic it will be, and no one will innovate in the end.
What Microsoft is doing now can be regarded as "the threshold for stealing is very high". Bill Gates himself does not have a WINDOWS operating system that supports laptops, and others cannot do it within a year or two. No one will harm Gates "the top spot among borrowers", so of course he has to let Gu Ao and Jobs live for a while.
Anyway, the personal computer industry is in a booming period, and the new blank market that can capture land is very large. Why do you need to keep an eye on it and make everyone dare not innovate?
The history of later generations has long proved that Bill Gates is the most skilled person in the world in terms of "when should he pretend to crack down on the attack and indulge the stealing boards, and when should he really seriously crack down on the attacks on the attacks?"
To put it bluntly, if you are poor, you will put aside disputes, and if you are rich, you will still be more skillful since ancient times.
...
After analyzing this wave with Chambers, Gu Ao knew that this means that at least in the next two years, Wang An Company will not have to worry about Microsoft's direct competition in the notebook computer segment.
In the past two years, it is still a window period for manufacturers of closed operating systems to fight each other, so there is no need to be afraid of giants entering the market.
Then the originally vague big goals can be disassembled into several small goals that are easy to achieve in the short term.
In the past two years, diplomacy has to continue to maintain a false and sarcastic friendship with Microsoft, and then concentrate on killing Apple completely.
The wave of competition four years ago only hurt Apple a little bit of vitality, and reversed the decline caused by Wang An in 1987 due to the chaos in senior management handover, and pushed Apple to a scale of only 30 to 40% of Wang An.
However, because Apple's foundation is still there and it was once a Nasdaq celebrity listed company, it is impossible to defeat it at one time.
Now, we have to make a contribution in one battle.
Gu Ao did not hope that by 1994, Apple would still live in this world as a "mainstream famous notebook supplier".
It can not go bankrupt, but it must be thrown into second-rate.
"These two years are critical periods, so we must make good arrangements to suppress Apple completely. Taking advantage of the new product category of laptops that have not been eroded by Microsoft, we should quickly attract core customers. In this way, even if Microsoft comes in in the future, we will have the power to fight."
Gu Ao cheered up the executives of Wang An, including John Chambers.
Today's meeting was mainly reported to him by Chambers, but other senior officials also attended.
"According to Microsoft's current situation... I heard that they are building a new operating system with extremely intuitive operating interface, called WINDOWS. In the future, after Microsoft comes in, can we really withstand it? Even if we rush to run for two years, it will be useless..."
Some senior executives of the technical staff, regardless of whether they were in front of Gu Ao, raised their worries very straightforwardly.
Because the desktop brands with closed systems have begun to shrink under Microsoft's offensive a few years ago. People always believe that history is easy to repeat, so it is not surprising that confidence is hit.
However, it is always a good thing to dare to give opinions and speak out your opinions directly, which shows that Wang An did not have a single word within, but opened up a wide range of ideas.
Facing the morale problems exposed by his subordinates in front of his boss, Chambers was also a little frightened. He realized that he had not done enough to unify the company's thoughts and morale recently. At the beginning of the product's launch, all his energy was involved in sales and the internal dispersion was a bit dispersed.
"How come you have such a short-sighted idea? Laptop computers and desktop computers are two kinds of things that require two needs. What happened on desktop computers may not necessarily become the history of the reenactment of the notebook era. Everyone should have confidence! Your vision is still too limited to technology and products."
Several technical executives who had raised objections before were just complaining, but they stopped talking about it when they saw this.
Gu Ao also realized that it seems necessary to unify morale cognition internally at present.
Chapter completed!